ReadWriteWeb has put up a list of 2008 predictions. They polled most (all?) of their senior writers, and aside from my personal beef that their items seem to be mostly about Facebook and Google, they look like pretty sure bets. However, there’s a section from “Charles Knight, Editor, AltSearchEngines (RWW Network Blog)” in which he states:
- In the 1st Q 2008, the true “Google Killer” in search will be in Stealth Mode. In 2nd Q 2008 the first prototype will begin in closed Alpha mode. In 3rd Q 2008 it will be ready for the final closed Beta testing. In 4th Q 2008 it will launch and “Rock and Shock” the world!
- The classic Vertical Search Engines (Job Search, Health, Consumer Electronics, Shopping, Video, People, more…) will continue their dominance over all other Search Engines in their various niches.
- The Alternative Search Engines will pick up the pace of partnerships and cooperation, for their solid mutual benefit.
- Mainstream Media interest in the Alts will increase until it begins to rival coverage of the five major search engines.
- The trend towards ‘widgetization’ of the Alts will continue. Approximately 2 in 10 Alternative Search Engines (20%) have widgets now, and that number will double in 2008 to 4 in 10 or 40%.
The problem I have with this stuff is that it’s (a) too focused and (b) sheer boosterism. It’s like the editor of a blog called WashingtonHuskies.com wrote a 2008 prediction that said “The Dawgs are going to the Rose Bowl in ’08! Woooooo!” Or Jason Calacanis predicting big days ahead for Mahalo. Or Scoble predicting big things from whomever it is that he’s about to work for. I appreciate the need for specialized voices to contribute in their areas of expertise, but this is not good journalism.